Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Houston Dynamo v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Houston Dynamo 2-1 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Houston Dynamo nicked a narrow win over Louisville City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Houston Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Houston Dynamo had 71% of the ball to Louisville City's 29%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 2.49 to 1.46.
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City?
Houston Dynamo 2-1 Louisville City in the USA - Open Cup on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 57%, draw 19%, Louisville City 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.