Columbus Crew 4-1 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
7.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
69%
-1.8pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.9pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.20/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/2.78
-48% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
17.2 Crosses 19.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
4-1
AWAY One Knoxville
1.79 xG 1.08
76% Ball Possession 24%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
727 Passes 171
92% Pass Accuracy 70%
51 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew swept aside One Knoxville 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 76% of the ball to One Knoxville's 24%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.79 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs One Knoxville?

Columbus Crew 4-1 One Knoxville in the USA - Open Cup on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 67%, draw 18%, One Knoxville 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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