New England Revolution vs Orlando City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New England Revolution v Orlando City — Team-Based Signals
New England Revolution vs Orlando City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 3-1
New England Revolution
ABD
3-1
HT 0-0
Orlando City
ABD
New England Revolution 3-4 Orlando City — Actual Match Statistics
Orlando City nicked a narrow win over New England Revolution 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (64%) came in.
On the day, New England Revolution had 48% of the ball to Orlando City's 52%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.47 to 2.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for New England Revolution and 2.50 for Orlando City.
What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Orlando City?
New England Revolution 3-4 Orlando City in the USA - Open Cup on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Orlando City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 34%, draw 24%, Orlando City 42%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.