Columbus Crew 1-0 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Jun 2025

📅30/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.49
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
5.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.31
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
14%
4.95
X/2
7%
9.11
X/X
12%
6.26
2/1
6%
19.85
2/2
14%
5.94
2/X
10%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.57/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.40
-1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.9 Crosses 18.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.58 xG 1.61
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
480 Passes 261
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-2 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
06.10.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-2 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
29.08.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
22.08.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-1 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union CONLK
01.10.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
26.02.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-1 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
1-0
AWAY Philadelphia Union
0.88 xG 0.45
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
426 Passes 244
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 21
7 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew squeezed past Philadelphia Union 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 60% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 40%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.88 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.67 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?

Columbus Crew 1-0 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 45%, draw 28%, Philadelphia Union 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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