Los Angeles FC 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Jun 2025

📅30/06/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.36
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.64
X/2
16%
9.02
X/X
9%
5.32
2/1
13%
22.45
2/2
8%
6.64
2/X
9%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.75/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.28
+1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.8 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 Passes 390
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 HT 1-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
09.11.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
04.11.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 HT 2-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
28.10.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
14.10.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
31.07.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps CONLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
0-1
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.89 xG 0.73
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
553 Passes 302
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
41 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps squeezed past Los Angeles FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Los Angeles FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 63% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 37%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.89 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.50 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Los Angeles FC 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 44%, draw 27%, Vancouver Whitecaps 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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ABD More USA - Major League
30 Jun 2025
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