Sheger Ketema 0-1 Mekelle Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.2pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.5pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheger Ketema EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 31%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
0.21/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.66
-78% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheger Ketema
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
09.01.2026 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema 0-0 HT 0-0 Sheger Ketema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheger Ketema
0-1
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelle Kenema edged past Sheger Ketema 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Mekelle Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sheger Ketema had 53% of the ball to Mekelle Kenema's 47%, shots finished 4-5.

What was the final score of Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?

Sheger Ketema 0-1 Mekelle Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheger Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sheger Ketema 39%, draw 34%, Mekelle Kenema 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sheger Ketema) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheger Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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