Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
35%
2.61
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.1pp
35%
Draw
35%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.91/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.02
-7% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mebrat Hayl
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.01.2026 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-0 HT 0-0 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
28.04.2025 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-2 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
27.04.2025 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-2 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
28.11.2024 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl 0-0 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mebrat Hayl
1-1
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mebrat Hayl and Dire Dawa Kenema couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 35% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Mebrat Hayl had 39% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 61%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mebrat Hayl had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mebrat Hayl and 0.00 for Dire Dawa Kenema.

What was the final score of Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mebrat Hayl 34%, draw 35%, Dire Dawa Kenema 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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