Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ethiopia Bunna v Fasil Ketema — Team-Based Signals
Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Ethiopia Bunna 2-1 Fasil Ketema — Actual Match Statistics
Ethiopia Bunna squeezed past Fasil Ketema 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ethiopia Bunna found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 56% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 44%, shots finished 4-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Bunna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ethiopia Bunna and 0.25 for Fasil Ketema.
What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?
Ethiopia Bunna 2-1 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 35%, draw 30%, Fasil Ketema 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.