Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.03/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.09
+6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
214 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedus Giorgis
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.01.2026 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 1-0 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
16.05.2025 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 2-1 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
25.01.2025 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-1 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
05.05.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-2 HT 1-0 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1-0
AWAY Awassa Kenema
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis nicked a narrow win over Awassa Kenema 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Kedus Giorgis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 42% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 58%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Awassa Kenema led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kedus Giorgis and 1.50 for Awassa Kenema.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Awassa Kenema?

Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 38%, draw 31%, Awassa Kenema 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kedus Giorgis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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