Al Khaleej 1-4 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 May 2026

Al Khaleej
1-4 HT 1-2
Al Ahli Jeddah
📅20/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.48
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
62%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 31% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
20%
-3.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
63%
Away Win
59%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Khaleej v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 62%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.46/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.94
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
15.3 Crosses 20.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.56 xG 2.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
266 Passes 372
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2026 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
07.03.2025 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
18.10.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
29.12.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
17.08.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
04.03.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD

Al Khaleej 1-4 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
1-4
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.09 xG 1.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
232 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah cruised past Al Khaleej 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 46% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 54%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.09 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Khaleej and 2.50 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Khaleej 1-4 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 16%, draw 22%, Al Ahli Jeddah 63%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ BTTS No
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