Winterthur vs St. Gallen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Winterthur v St. Gallen — Team-Based Signals
Winterthur vs St. Gallen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 3-1
Winterthur
İSV
2-1
HT 0-0
St. Gallen
İSV
2-3
HT 2-3
Winterthur
İSV
1-0
HT 0-0
St. Gallen
İSV
Winterthur 1-0 St. Gallen — Actual Match Statistics
Winterthur edged past St. Gallen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was St. Gallen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Winterthur had 40% of the ball to St. Gallen's 60%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.32 to 2.12 — on chances, St. Gallen could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Winterthur and 2.00 for St. Gallen.
What was the final score of Winterthur vs St. Gallen?
Winterthur 1-0 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Winterthur vs St. Gallen?
Before kick-off our model rated an St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 29%, draw 26%, St. Gallen 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.