Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.44
No
69%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-7.2pp
30%
Draw
33%
-2.5pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.6pp
31%
BTTS Yes
37%
-6.0pp
69%
BTTS No
63%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
0.70/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.69
-32% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
16.03.2025 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
22.07.2023 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
18.03.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
18.09.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-3 HT 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste and Deportivo Madryn shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (75%) landed while no to both teams scoring (69%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Madryn led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.75 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn?

Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 30%, draw 30%, Deportivo Madryn 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Madryn), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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