Patronato 1-0 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.29/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.76
+17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.03.2025 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 1-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
18.08.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 3-1 HT 1-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
31.03.2024 Patronato Patronato 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patronato edged past Deportivo Maipu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Patronato as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Patronato and 2.00 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu?

Patronato 1-0 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Patronato 43%, draw 28%, Deportivo Maipu 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patronato), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Patronato) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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