Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -17%
1.39/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.39
+9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
287 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Patronato
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.08.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 3-1 HT 1-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
31.03.2024 Patronato Patronato 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu and Patronato couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Maipu at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 1.00 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato?

Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 47%, draw 27%, Patronato 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Maipu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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