Tuggeranong United 1-7 Canberra FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL Başkent, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
30%
4.81
Away
49%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.53
No
35%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
41%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
4%
X/2
27%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.1pp
31%
Draw
18%
+12.8pp
49%
Away Win
67%
-18.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
61%
+4.3pp
35%
BTTS No
39%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 71%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.89/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.51/0.74
+6% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
204 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuggeranong United
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Canberra FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2025 Canberra FC Canberra FC 5-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
11.08.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 1-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
16.06.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
29.07.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
05.07.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 7-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
15.04.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-6 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra FC cruised past Tuggeranong United 7-1 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Canberra FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tuggeranong United and 4.33 for Canberra FC.

What was the final score of Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC?

Tuggeranong United 1-7 Canberra FC in the Australia - NPL Başkent on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tuggeranong United 21%, draw 31%, Canberra FC 49%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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