Volta Redonda 3-2 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.91
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
25%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.2pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volta Redonda EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
0.94/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.97
-56% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
27.4 Crosses 17.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volta Redonda
3-2
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.58 xG 2.71
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
266 Passes 379
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Volta Redonda vs Atletico Paranaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volta Redonda edged past Atletico Paranaense 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Volta Redonda found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Volta Redonda had 43% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 57%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.58 to 2.71 — on chances, Atletico Paranaense could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Volta Redonda vs Atletico Paranaense?

Volta Redonda 3-2 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volta Redonda vs Atletico Paranaense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volta Redonda win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Volta Redonda 36%, draw 32%, Atletico Paranaense 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volta Redonda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volta Redonda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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