Avai vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avai v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Avai vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Avai
BR2
0-3
HT 0-2
Vila Nova
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
Avai 1-1 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Avai and Vila Nova shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Avai at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.
On the day, Avai had 47% of the ball to Vila Nova's 53%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.50 to 0.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avai and 1.33 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Avai vs Vila Nova?
Avai 1-1 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avai vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Avai 42%, draw 29%, Vila Nova 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Avai), BTTS No went the other way.