Amazonas 3-0 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.41
Over 2.5
36%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.3
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-3.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.56/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.11
-20% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.0 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.21 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
384 Passes 280
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.10.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
13.07.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-1 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
3-0
AWAY Botafogo SP
2.35 xG 0.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
266 Passes 437
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas swept aside Botafogo SP 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Amazonas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Amazonas had 42% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 58%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.35 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Amazonas and 0.50 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Botafogo SP?

Amazonas 3-0 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 42%, draw 29%, Botafogo SP 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amazonas), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amazonas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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