Amazonas 0-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.13
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.1pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.41/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.94
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
25.9 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.45 xG 1.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
290 Passes 413
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 32
5 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-1 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
0-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.97 xG 0.63
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
479 Passes 146
89% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 5
26 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP squeezed past Amazonas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Amazonas at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Amazonas had 72% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 28%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.97 to 0.63 — on chances, Amazonas could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Botafogo SP?

Amazonas 0-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 47%, draw 27%, Botafogo SP 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Amazonas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amazonas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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