Goias 3-0 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.51
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.18/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.34
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
22.7 Crosses 17.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Operario PR
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 Passes 282
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.07.2024 Operario PR Operario PR 2-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR2
07.11.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 1-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
30.07.2021 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
3-0
AWAY Operario PR
3.01 xG 1.04
39% Ball Possession 61%
23 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
216 Passes 379
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Goias vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias cruised past Operario PR 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Goias had 39% of the ball to Operario PR's 61%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 3.01 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Goias and 1.00 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Goias vs Operario PR?

Goias 3-0 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Goias 47%, draw 31%, Operario PR 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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