Guarani FC 0-2 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.29
No
67%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.9
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
13%
7.24
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
33%
Draw
33%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.9pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.1pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.1pp
33%
BTTS Yes
40%
-6.9pp
67%
BTTS No
60%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -20%
1.14/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.89
+4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.2 Crosses 26.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guarani FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Novorizontino
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
295 Passes 292
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-1 HT 1-1 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
30.09.2023 Guarani FC Guarani FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
08.06.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
21.09.2022 Guarani FC Guarani FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
12.06.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-2 HT 0-1 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
12.02.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-2 HT 0-1 Guarani FC Guarani FC BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guarani FC
0-2
AWAY Novorizontino
0.83 xG 0.83
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
467 Passes 172
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
12 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Guarani FC vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino beat Guarani FC 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Novorizontino made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, Guarani FC had 68% of the ball to Novorizontino's 32%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.83 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guarani FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guarani FC and 0.83 for Novorizontino.

What was the final score of Guarani FC vs Novorizontino?

Guarani FC 0-2 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guarani FC vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guarani FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guarani FC 38%, draw 33%, Novorizontino 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guarani FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guarani FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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