Coritiba vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Coritiba v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals
Coritiba vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Coritiba 2-5 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics
Paysandu cruised past Coritiba 5-2 on their travels. Half-time: 1-3. A 7-goal game — the defences never settled.
File this under upsets: a 63% lean on Coritiba went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Coritiba had 66% of the ball to Paysandu's 34%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.31 to 1.53 — on chances, Coritiba could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coritiba and 1.17 for Paysandu.
Coritiba vs Paysandu Result & Final Score
Coritiba 2 - 5 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Coritiba vs Paysandu Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 63%, draw 25%, Paysandu 12%. The final score 2-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.