Coritiba vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coritiba v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals
Coritiba vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BR2
2-1
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR1
3-1
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BR1
Coritiba 2-5 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics
Paysandu cruised past Coritiba 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Coritiba at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Coritiba had 66% of the ball to Paysandu's 34%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.31 to 1.53 — the balance of chances actually favoured Coritiba.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coritiba and 1.17 for Paysandu.
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Paysandu?
Coritiba 2-5 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Paysandu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 49%, draw 31%, Paysandu 20%. The final score 2-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.