Cheongju FC 2-1 Cheonan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 34% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.88/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.76
-33% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.6 Crosses 20.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheongju FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cheonan City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
296 Passes 368
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2025 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-1 HT 0-1 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
21.09.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-0 HT 1-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
16.06.2024 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
10.03.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-2 HT 1-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
27.08.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
15.07.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-2 HT 1-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheongju FC
2-1
AWAY Cheonan City
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
317 Passes 337
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cheongju FC vs Cheonan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheongju FC edged past Cheonan City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cheongju FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheongju FC had 48% of the ball to Cheonan City's 52%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheongju FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cheongju FC and 0.83 for Cheonan City.

What was the final score of Cheongju FC vs Cheonan City?

Cheongju FC 2-1 Cheonan City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheongju FC vs Cheonan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheongju FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cheongju FC 42%, draw 29%, Cheonan City 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheongju FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cheongju FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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