Gyeongnam FC 0-2 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 61%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.01/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.26
-1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses 22.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Incheon United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
268 Passes 434
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
24.05.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-0 HT 3-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOK
30.11.2019 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
0-2
AWAY Incheon United
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
254 Passes 522
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United beat Gyeongnam FC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 35% of the ball to Incheon United's 65%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.67 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Incheon United?

Gyeongnam FC 0-2 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 27%, draw 25%, Incheon United 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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