Bucheon 1995 5-3 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.15/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.04
-36% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.3 Crosses 18.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucheon 1995
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
295 Passes 280
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 HT 2-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
24.08.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 HT 1-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
27.05.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 3-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
09.03.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
02.09.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
23.07.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucheon 1995
5-3
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
275 Passes 320
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bucheon 1995 vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucheon 1995 beat Asan Mugunghwa 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bucheon 1995 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bucheon 1995 had 45% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 55%, shots finished 16-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucheon 1995 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bucheon 1995 and 1.00 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Bucheon 1995 vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Bucheon 1995 5-3 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucheon 1995 vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bucheon 1995 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bucheon 1995 47%, draw 27%, Asan Mugunghwa 26%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucheon 1995) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bucheon 1995) ✗ Under 2.5
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