Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Deportivo Pereira — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pereira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Deportivo Pereira
KOL
1-2
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Pereira
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 1-0 Deportivo Pereira — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Pereira 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Petrolera as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 47% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 53%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.47 to 0.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Pereira.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.00 for Deportivo Pereira.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pereira?
Alianza Petrolera 1-0 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pereira?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 41%, draw 34%, Deportivo Pereira 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.