Atletico Nacional 3-1 La Equidad — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Colombia - Primera, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
HomeVIEW
79%
1.27
Draw
14%
5.0
Away
7%
9.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.97
Over
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
1%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
3%
2/X
2%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atletico Nacional The Market 79%
Signal
AWAY La Equidad The Market 10%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.49 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.56
0.68 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.05
Strong Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
436 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 74%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
2W-2D-2L
AWAY La Equidad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.26 xG 0.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
322 Passes 227
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
31.07.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
26.02.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
14.09.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 5-0 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
02.04.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
31.10.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
3 - 1
AWAY La Equidad
0.90 xG 0.17
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
526 Passes 276
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Nacional got the better of La Equidad 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 63% to 37% in Atletico Nacional's favour, shots finished 10-3, expected goals 0.90 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Atletico Nacional against 0.67 for La Equidad.

Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad Result & Final Score

Atletico Nacional 3 - 1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 79%, draw 14%, La Equidad 7%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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