La Equidad 0-1 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.5pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+3.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.89/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.01
-25% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
16.5 Crosses 13.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.61 xG 1.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
221 Passes 338
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
26.02.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
14.09.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 5-0 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
02.04.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
31.10.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
15.05.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
0-1
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.08 xG 0.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
208 Passes 238
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional squeezed past La Equidad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Atletico Nacional made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, La Equidad had 49% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 51%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.08 to 0.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured La Equidad.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for La Equidad and 1.00 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Atletico Nacional?

La Equidad 0-1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 30%, draw 32%, Atletico Nacional 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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