Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒01:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+8.8pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-10.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
0.69/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.82
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.3 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.73 xG 1.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 354
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
21.11.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
04.11.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
15.04.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-3 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
16.07.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
23.03.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
0-1
AWAY Millonarios
0.75 xG 1.01
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
309 Passes 437
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Pasto 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Millonarios made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 43% of the ball to Millonarios's 57%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.75 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.33 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios?

Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 35%, draw 32%, Millonarios 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
2 Feb 2025
03:20 Junior vs Aguilas Doradas Analysis →
22:00 La Equidad vs Atletico Nacional Analysis →