Junior 2-2 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒03:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.45/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.05
+13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
16.9 Crosses 12.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
227 Passes 268
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2024 Junior Junior 3-4 HT 1-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
09.03.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-2 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
30.11.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
26.11.2023 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
16.07.2023 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
26.01.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-2
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.13 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
341 Passes 255
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Junior vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior and Aguilas Doradas shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Junior at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 55% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 45%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 1.13 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Junior and 1.33 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Junior vs Aguilas Doradas?

Junior 2-2 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Junior 45%, draw 29%, Aguilas Doradas 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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