Sacramento Republic vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sacramento Republic v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic 0-0 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic and Lexington played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Sacramento Republic at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 60% of the ball to Lexington's 40%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.60 to 0.71.
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Lexington?
Sacramento Republic 0-0 Lexington in the USL Championship on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Lexington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 50%, draw 27%, Lexington 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic) went the other way.