Birmingham Legion 0-1 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.53
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 29% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 34%
-20% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
1.47/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.64
-14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.9 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.38 xG 1.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
336 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.07.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
05.08.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
27.03.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-2 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
0-1
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.08 xG 0.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 Passes 300
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs edged past Birmingham Legion 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Colorado Springs made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 55% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 45%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.08 to 0.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Birmingham Legion.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.67 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Colorado Springs?

Birmingham Legion 0-1 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 37%, draw 25%, Colorado Springs 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ BTTS Yes
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