Louisville City vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Louisville City
USLP
1-2
HT 1-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
2-2
HT 1-1
Louisville City
USLP
4-1
HT 1-1
FC Tulsa
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
FC Tulsa
USLP
Louisville City 1-1 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City and FC Tulsa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Louisville City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Louisville City had 65% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 35%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 1.22 to 1.36.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Louisville City and 1.00 for FC Tulsa.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs FC Tulsa?
Louisville City 1-1 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs FC Tulsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 47%, draw 26%, FC Tulsa 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5 went the other way.