FC Tulsa 0-1 Louisville City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.75
No
38%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
30%
3.01
6+ Goals
9%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.6pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Louisville City EU Bookmakers 66%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.21/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.14
-1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
14.2 Crosses 21.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tulsa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Louisville City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.66 xG 2.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
283 Passes 351
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-3 HT 0-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
25.05.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
08.09.2022 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 2-2 HT 1-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
28.05.2022 Louisville City Louisville City 4-1 HT 1-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
04.09.2021 Louisville City Louisville City 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
15.08.2021 Louisville City Louisville City 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tulsa
0-1
AWAY Louisville City
0.42 xG 1.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 24
0 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
320 Passes 222
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
11 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Tulsa vs Louisville City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City edged past FC Tulsa 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Tulsa had 56% of the ball to Louisville City's 44%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.42 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Tulsa and 2.00 for Louisville City.

What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Louisville City?

FC Tulsa 0-1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Louisville City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 25%, draw 23%, Louisville City 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Louisville City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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