Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orange County SC v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 0-3
Orange County SC
USLP
2-2
HT 0-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
1-1
HT 1-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
Orange County SC 4-0 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Orange County SC ran out comfortable winners over Las Vegas Lights 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Orange County SC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Orange County SC had 63% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 37%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.76 to 0.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Orange County SC and 1.50 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights?
Orange County SC 4-0 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 42%, draw 30%, Las Vegas Lights 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orange County SC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.