TPS Turku 1-3 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 20 Jul 2026

📅20/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.09
2-3 Goals
34%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
13%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.02
1/2
7%
23.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
6.36
X/2
16%
5.5
X/X
9%
5.19
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
20%
3.21
2/X
7%
12.25
Value flag · X/1 at 6.36 — our 18% vs market 11.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.40/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.41
+22% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
12.3 Crosses 15.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.75 xG 1.41
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
349 Passes 469
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2026 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
27.05.2026 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİK
26.04.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİK
27.09.2020 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-0 HT 2-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
07.07.2020 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
25.08.2018 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
1-3
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.57 xG 2.98
11 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
337 Passes 482
10 Box Touches 46
26 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ TPS Turku vs Ilves Tampere
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ilves Tampere beat TPS Turku 3-1 away from home in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 20 Jul 2026. Half-time: 1-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 0.57 to 2.98.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere lead the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for TPS Turku and 1.83 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs Ilves Tampere?

TPS Turku 1-3 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 20/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 34%, draw 23%, Ilves Tampere 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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