IFK Mariehamn 0-2 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 20 Jul 2026

📅20/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.71
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
64%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
9.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 27% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.93
1/2
10%
20.9
1/X
5%
17.05
X/1
4%
11.35
X/2
23%
4.08
X/X
8%
6.03
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
31%
1.89
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-0.8pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
64%
Away Win
61%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 66%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.77/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.63
-24% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +42%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 85%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Lahti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
314 Passes 338
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2026 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİK
10.05.2026 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
05.03.2026 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
19.09.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 2-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
18.08.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
12.05.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-0 HT 2-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
0-2
AWAY FC Lahti
0.24 xG 3.29
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
278 Passes 364
20 Box Touches 38
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ IFK Mariehamn vs FC Lahti
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FC Lahti beat IFK Mariehamn 2-0 away from home in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 20 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.24 to 3.29.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Lahti lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.17 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs FC Lahti?

IFK Mariehamn 0-2 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 20/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 17%, draw 19%, FC Lahti 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✗ Over 2.5
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