IFK Mariehamn 0-1 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 26 May 2026

📅26/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 55%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.53/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +60%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Lahti
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
314 Passes 338
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2026 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
05.03.2026 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
19.09.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 2-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
18.08.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
12.05.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-0 HT 2-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
23.02.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti nicked a narrow win over IFK Mariehamn 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Lahti led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.17 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs FC Lahti?

IFK Mariehamn 0-1 FC Lahti in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 26/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 28%, draw 23%, FC Lahti 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİK More Finland - Suomen Cup
26 May 2026
18:00 SJK Akatemia vs SJK Seinajoki Analysis →
18:00 VPS vs Haka Analysis →
18:30 Inter Turku vs EBK Analysis →
18:30 JaPS vs KuPS Kuopio Analysis →
19:00 Honka vs VJS Analysis →