Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Aug 2026

Vila Nova
vs
Ponte Preta
📅20/08/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Vila Nova v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ponte Preta
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 251
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.04.2026 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-1 HT 0-1 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
12.11.2024 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-1 HT 1-1 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
24.07.2024 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 2-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
16.09.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-1 HT 1-1 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
28.05.2023 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
09.10.2022 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-1 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
COMMENT Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Vila Nova have won 4 of their last 5 home league games, and Ponte Preta have lost 5 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vila Nova and 1.00 for Ponte Preta.

When do Vila Nova and Ponte Preta play?

Vila Nova play Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/08/2026, kick-off 02:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta?

Our model's prediction for Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta is a Vila Nova win at about 64% probability, priced 1.42 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Vila Nova 64%, draw 20%, Ponte Preta 16%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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