Türkspor Dortmund 3-7 Paderborn 07 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Sep 2024

Türkspor Dortmund
3-7
Paderborn 07 II
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Türkspor Dortmund vs Paderborn 07 II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
33%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.9pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Türkspor Dortmund v Paderborn 07 II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkspor Dortmund EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.02
-32% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Türkspor Dortmund vs Paderborn 07 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn 07 II swept aside Türkspor Dortmund 7-3 away from home. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Paderborn 07 II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Türkspor Dortmund vs Paderborn 07 II?

Türkspor Dortmund 3-7 Paderborn 07 II in the Germany - Regional League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkspor Dortmund vs Paderborn 07 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Türkspor Dortmund 30%, draw 30%, Paderborn 07 II 40%. The final score 3-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn 07 II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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