NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NK Varazdin v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
Istra 1961
HIRK
2-0
HT 1-0
NK Varazdin
HIR
1-0
HT 0-0
Istra 1961
HIR
NK Varazdin 1-0 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics
NK Varazdin squeezed past Istra 1961 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NK Varazdin as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, NK Varazdin had 50% of the ball to Istra 1961's 50%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.30 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.83 for Istra 1961.
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
NK Varazdin 1-0 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 48%, draw 29%, Istra 1961 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.