Cardiff City 1-3 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

Cardiff City
1-3 HT 0-2
Bradford City
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Cardiff City vs Bradford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.3
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.38
X/2
6%
8.6
X/X
11%
5.19
2/1
8%
21.95
2/2
8%
6.53
2/X
6%
14.65
Value flag · X/1 at 4.38 — our 26% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cardiff City v Bradford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 26%
+17% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.70/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.38
+69% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
359 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 70%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
14.3 Crosses 38.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cardiff City vs Bradford City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bradford City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
17.01.2004 Bradford City Bradford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
16.08.2003 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İNCL

Cardiff City 1-3 Bradford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
1-3
AWAY Bradford City
2.03 xG 2.18
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
396 Passes 206
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City beat Cardiff City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Cardiff City carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cardiff City had 61% of the ball to Bradford City's 39%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 2.03 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cardiff City and 1.00 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Bradford City?

Cardiff City 1-3 Bradford City in the England - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 56%, draw 24%, Bradford City 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cardiff City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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