Port Vale vs Mansfield Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Vale v Mansfield Town — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Mansfield Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İNLK
0-3
HT 0-2
Port Vale
İN2
3-1
HT 1-1
Mansfield Town
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
Port Vale
İN2
0-3
HT 0-2
Mansfield Town
İN2
4-0
HT 2-0
Port Vale
İN2
Port Vale 2-1 Mansfield Town — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale edged past Mansfield Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Port Vale as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Port Vale had 75% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 25%, shots finished 19-2, expected goals 2.47 to 0.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Port Vale's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Port Vale and 1.50 for Mansfield Town.
What was the final score of Port Vale vs Mansfield Town?
Port Vale 2-1 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Mansfield Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 45%, draw 25%, Mansfield Town 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Vale) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.