Bolton Wanderers 4-1 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
20%
4.38
X/2
10%
8.08
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
7%
23.2
2/2
7%
6.24
2/X
5%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.59/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.17
-1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.2 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
382 Passes 183
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.04.2025 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
14.12.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
27.02.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
19.08.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-3 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
02.04.2022 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
16.10.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
4-1
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.39 xG 0.89
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 16
328 Passes 284
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers ran out comfortable winners over Wigan Athletic 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 51% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 49%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.39 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 2.00 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Wigan Athletic?

Bolton Wanderers 4-1 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 53%, draw 24%, Wigan Athletic 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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