Notts County 4-0 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Sep 2025

Notts County
4 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Crawley Town
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Notts County vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.03
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.59
2-3
47%
1.76
4-5
25%
3.01
6+
6%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.7
1/2
2%
32.0
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
17%
4.76
X/2
10%
7.17
X/X
15%
5.14
2/1
3%
22.8
2/2
14%
5.06
2/X
5%
13.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Notts County v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Notts County The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town The Market 32%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.79 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
1.35 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.73
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Notts County vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Crawley Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.96 xG 1.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
308 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.03.2024 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
28.11.2023 Notts County Notts County 3-1 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
04.11.2023 Notts County Notts County 3-2 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town FAK
22.04.2019 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
02.10.2018 Notts County Notts County 3-1 HT 2-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
23.01.2018 Notts County Notts County 1-2 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2

Notts County 4-0 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
4 - 0
AWAY Crawley Town
1.25 xG 0.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
313 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Notts County vs Crawley Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Notts County dismantled Crawley Town 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Notts County as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (55%) came in, both teams to score (58%) didn't.

By the numbers, Notts County had 49% of the ball to Crawley Town's 51%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.25 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Notts County and 1.50 for Crawley Town.

Notts County vs Crawley Town Result & Final Score

Notts County 4 - 0 Crawley Town in the England - 2nd Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Notts County vs Crawley Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Notts County 48%, draw 26%, Crawley Town 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Notts County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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