Karlshamn 3-0 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
51%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.2pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.8pp
51%
Away Win
45%
+6.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.50/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/3.00
-3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlshamn
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Hogaborgs BK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 2-1 HT 1-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
24.08.2024 Karlshamn 1-3 HT 0-1 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
27.04.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 0-2 Karlshamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Karlshamn vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlshamn swept aside Hogaborgs BK 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hogaborgs BK at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hogaborgs BK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Karlshamn and 1.67 for Hogaborgs BK.

What was the final score of Karlshamn vs Hogaborgs BK?

Karlshamn 3-0 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlshamn vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hogaborgs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Karlshamn 30%, draw 19%, Hogaborgs BK 51%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hogaborgs BK), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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