Karlshamn 1-3 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
2.36/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+33% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlshamn
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hogaborgs BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.04.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 0-2 Karlshamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Karlshamn vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK saw off Karlshamn 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hogaborgs BK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Karlshamn vs Hogaborgs BK?

Karlshamn 1-3 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlshamn vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hogaborgs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Karlshamn 32%, draw 26%, Hogaborgs BK 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hogaborgs BK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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