Mjallby 1-1 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Sep 2025

Mjallby
1-1 HT 1-0
Östers
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Mjallby vs Östers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 33% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
22%
3.91
X/2
5%
11.7
X/X
13%
5.63
2/1
11%
22.35
2/2
7%
9.8
2/X
4%
18.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
62%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mjallby v Östers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +28%
1.42/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.60
-4% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +67%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.1 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1

Mjallby vs Östers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Östers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.54 xG 1.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
376 Passes 320
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
47 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.07.2025 Östers Östers 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
05.10.2019 Mjallby Mjallby 3-2 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
19.05.2019 Östers Östers 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
09.02.2018 Östers Östers 0-2 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby HAZ
27.07.2013 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.07.2013 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇ

Mjallby 1-1 Östers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
1-1
AWAY Östers
1.61 xG 0.57
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
470 Passes 301
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby and Östers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mjallby at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Mjallby had 59% of the ball to Östers's 41%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.61 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mjallby and 0.67 for Östers.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Östers?

Mjallby 1-1 Östers in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 60%, draw 22%, Östers 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mjallby), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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