GAIS 2-0 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Sep 2025

GAIS
2-0 HT 1-0
Elfsborg
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

GAIS vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
12%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.86
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
14%
4.82
X/2
8%
6.91
X/X
12%
4.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.1
2/2
16%
4.98
2/X
7%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.1 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

GAIS v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.52/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.52
-35% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
22.6 Crosses 21.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

GAIS vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.18 xG 0.98
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
459 Passes 254
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.05.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
11.08.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-1 HT 2-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
19.05.2024 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 2-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
18.02.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
19.02.2018 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-3 HT 2-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
17.03.2013 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK

GAIS 2-0 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
2-0
AWAY Elfsborg
1.87 xG 1.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 388
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS got the better of Elfsborg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had GAIS as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GAIS had 47% of the ball to Elfsborg's 53%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.87 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for GAIS and 2.00 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Elfsborg?

GAIS 2-0 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split GAIS 46%, draw 24%, Elfsborg 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GAIS) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GAIS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
20 Sep 2025
16:00 Malmö FF vs Djurgarden Analysis →
18:30 Mjallby vs Östers Analysis →