Malmö FF 0-1 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.36
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
12%
4.18
X/2
11%
8.28
X/X
12%
4.94
2/1
7%
23.2
2/2
9%
6.64
2/X
5%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.61/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.43
-4% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.4 Crosses 15.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 1.10
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
479 Passes 314
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
01.09.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 4-0 HT 3-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
01.05.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-1 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK
25.04.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
20.08.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
17.07.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
0-1
AWAY Djurgarden
0.83 xG 0.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
490 Passes 340
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden nicked a narrow win over Malmö FF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Malmö FF at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 58% of the ball to Djurgarden's 42%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.83 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Malmö FF and 0.50 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Djurgarden?

Malmö FF 0-1 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 47%, draw 23%, Djurgarden 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ BTTS Yes
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